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Final
2026-08-1604:10Citi Field
4-5
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 72% · Season 63% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
0295989119895615573274643766948670557656956876888841689222210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 663Runs Allowed 643

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0255075100606916471245803545645453570596565875460831399261310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 514Runs Allowed 558
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#235% 43/12427% 33/124#136% 45/12431% 39/124#335% 43/12426% 32/12433% 41/12426% 32/12425% 24/9765% 11/17
RA26% 32/12429% 36/124#233% 41/12430% 37/12431% 39/12424% 30/12431% 39/124#332% 40/124#134% 34/9965% 11/17
MetsR27% 33/123#131% 38/12322% 27/12322% 27/12325% 31/123#230% 37/123#329% 36/12322% 27/12319% 19/10260% 12/20
RA#232% 39/123#328% 34/123#134% 42/12325% 31/12326% 32/12328% 34/12325% 31/12322% 27/12323% 21/9360% 12/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.