Sportify
Final
2026-07-0906:45Nationals Park
Astros
Away
2-8
Team123456789RHE
Astros000010010280
Nationals00233000X891

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.7
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Astros defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 78% · Season 67% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
68%
+14pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
60%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
023466993645913851249693495645874540346335775737829249131110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 430Runs Allowed 472

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
022456790704314558255433555745956543446724675466832599152110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 500Runs Allowed 493
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#136% 34/9422% 21/94#331% 29/9424% 23/94#232% 30/9424% 23/9420% 19/9429% 27/9423% 17/7370% 7/10
RA#235% 33/9430% 28/94#331% 29/9429% 27/94#137% 35/9419% 18/9430% 28/9426% 24/9425% 18/7360% 6/10
NationalsR#137% 34/9327% 25/93#237% 34/9328% 26/93#334% 32/9328% 26/9333% 31/9326% 24/9326% 19/7460% 9/15
RA27% 25/9328% 26/93#331% 29/9330% 28/93#232% 30/9322% 20/9331% 29/9331% 29/93#137% 29/7867% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.