Sportify
Final
2026-07-0806:45Nationals Park
Astros
Away
6-3
Team123456789RHE
Astros010301010661
Nationals1010000013110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.7
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Astros defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 75% · Season 67% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
68%
+13pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
023466993645813751249683465645874539346335775637829239131110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 424Runs Allowed 469

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
022456790694314557254433555445956543436724675465831599152110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 497Runs Allowed 487
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#137% 34/9322% 20/93#331% 29/9324% 22/93#232% 30/9324% 22/9320% 19/9328% 26/9324% 17/7270% 7/10
RA#234% 32/93#330% 28/9330% 28/9329% 27/93#138% 35/9319% 18/9330% 28/9326% 24/9324% 17/7260% 6/10
NationalsR#136% 33/9227% 25/92#236% 33/9228% 26/92#335% 32/9228% 26/9234% 31/9226% 24/9225% 18/7360% 9/15
RA27% 25/9227% 25/92#332% 29/9229% 27/92#233% 30/9221% 19/9232% 29/9230% 28/92#138% 29/7767% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.