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Final
2026-06-2102:20Wrigley Field
8-6
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000000350892
Cubs030002010690

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 38%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Cubs defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 73% · Season 60% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-0pp
7–9 Late
55%
+2pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
01632486431421191624050325294323554351638407433682527912910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 308Runs Allowed 335

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
0142944593536140362403634446433475454664522736428362196510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 360Runs Allowed 337
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 18/7616% 12/76#233% 25/7618% 14/7625% 19/76#134% 26/76#328% 21/7626% 20/7627% 16/5988% 7/8
RA#232% 24/7613% 10/76#330% 23/7628% 21/7625% 19/76#133% 25/7625% 19/7626% 20/7624% 14/5875% 6/8
CubsR21% 16/7629% 22/7625% 19/76#232% 24/7624% 18/76#332% 24/7626% 20/7630% 23/76#134% 21/6260% 6/10
RA24% 18/7626% 20/76#132% 24/7630% 23/7630% 23/76#232% 24/7617% 13/76#332% 24/7626% 15/5840% 4/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.