Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1408:10

Rangers

Away

3-4

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Rangers	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0
Astros	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1X	4	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Rangers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.1

Rangers scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Rangers scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rangers offense × Astros defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Astros offense × Rangers defense

45%R 55% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 68% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

59%

+6pp

F9 full game

55%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Rangers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 161Runs Allowed 169

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 190Runs Allowed 146

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rangers	R	26% 10/38	#132% 12/38	24% 9/38	#232% 12/38	18% 7/38	#332% 12/38	18% 7/38	21% 8/38	27% 8/30	100% 4/4
Rangers	RA	#234% 13/38	29% 11/38	32% 12/38	#334% 13/38	16% 6/38	24% 9/38	#142% 16/38	26% 10/38	24% 7/29	0% 0/4
Astros	R	27% 10/37	#332% 12/37	16% 6/37	#246% 17/37	32% 12/37	24% 9/37	24% 9/37	24% 9/37	#148% 13/27	100% 1/1
Astros	RA	19% 7/37	14% 5/37	27% 10/37	24% 9/37	#132% 12/37	22% 8/37	19% 7/37	#330% 11/37	#230% 9/30	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.