Sportify
Final
2026-05-0309:40T-Mobile Park
Royals
Away
3-2
Team12345678910RHE
Royals0010000011380
Mariners1000100000281

Advanced Analysis

Pre-game data reference based on recent workload, pitcher roles, and hitting form. Not betting advice.

Postgame review
Through 2026-05-01 · 32 games. Pregame data is retained for postgame comparison.
RA/G
4.81
SP RA%
56%
BP RA%
44%
Pregame ready
6

Last 5 RA

2026-05-01
6
2026-04-30
6
2026-04-29
5
2026-04-28
1
2026-04-26
9

IP Share

SP 62%BP 38%
Denominator: current roster, 282.1 IP (847 outs) this season

Pitcher Workload

Royals
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo#67
RStarterGame starter
Ready
Season ERA
2.63
Season WHIP
1.17
Starter rest
5 days rest
Last: 97 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
70122
+
Average form5 days rest fits a normal starter cycle
IP
15%
RA
10%
RA/IP
0.32
Rest
Ready
5 days rest
6.1 IP / 97 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-266.1 IP7 ER7 RA97 P
2026-04-207.0 IP0 ER0 RA93 P
2026-04-156.2 IP1 ER1 RA92 P
2026-04-096.1 IP1 ER2 RA92 P
2026-04-045.0 IP2 ER2 RA103 P
Lucas Erceg
Ready
Season ERA
4.05
Season WHIP
1.50
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 12 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00100
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
6%
RA/IP
0.53
Rest
Ready
0 days rest
1.0 IP / 12 pitches
Inn.
8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-011.0 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-04-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA23 P
2026-04-261.0 IP0 ER1 RA21 P
2026-04-241.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-04-211.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
Matt Strahm
Ready
Season ERA
3.86
Season WHIP
1.37
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 14 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00020
+
Average formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
4%
RA/IP
0.43
Rest
Ready
0 days rest
1.0 IP / 14 pitches
Inn.
7,8
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-011.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
2026-04-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA26 P
2026-04-241.0 IP0 ER0 RA8 P
2026-04-211.0 IP2 ER2 RA31 P
2026-04-201.0 IP0 ER0 RA20 P
Nick Mears
Nick Mears#31
RHigh Lev
Ready
Season ERA
2.31
Season WHIP
1.11
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 15 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00000
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
2%
RA/IP
0.26
Rest
Ready
0 days rest
0.2 IP / 15 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-010.2 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-04-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
2026-04-261.0 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-04-240.1 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
2026-04-211.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
Mason Black
Ready
Season ERA
0.00
Season WHIP
1.93
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 20 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
0000
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
2%
RA
0%
RA/IP
0.00
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.0 IP / 20 pitches
Inn.
5,6,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-291.0 IP0 ER0 RA20 P
2026-04-251.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-04-221.0 IP0 ER0 RA24 P
2026-04-191.2 IP0 ER0 RA38 P
Luinder Avila
Ready
Season ERA
9.00
Season WHIP
2.86
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 20 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
115
+
Shaky formRecent workload looks normal
IP
3%
RA
6%
RA/IP
1.00
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.0 IP / 20 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,6
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-291.0 IP1 ER1 RA20 P
2026-04-083.0 IP1 ER1 RA62 P
2026-04-043.0 IP5 ER5 RA73 P
Alex Lange
Ready
Season ERA
6.59
Season WHIP
1.68
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 5 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00105
+
Poor formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
9%
RA/IP
0.80
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 5 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,9,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-301.0 IP0 ER0 RA5 P
2026-04-291.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-04-261.0 IP1 ER1 RA34 P
2026-04-221.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-04-201.0 IP4 ER5 RA31 P
Daniel Lynch IV
Limited
Season ERA
2.19
Season WHIP
0.65
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 25 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
20001
+
Shaky form20+ pitches last outing lowers next-day usage
IP
5%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.49
Rest
Limited
0 days rest
1.0 IP / 25 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,10,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-011.0 IP2 ER2 RA25 P
2026-04-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA20 P
2026-04-251.0 IP0 ER0 RA9 P
2026-04-240.1 IP0 ER0 RA5 P
2026-04-201.1 IP0 ER1 RA12 P
John Schreiber
Limited
Season ERA
4.63
Season WHIP
1.54
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 20 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
10000
+
Good form20+ pitches last outing lowers next-day usage
IP
5%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.51
Rest
Limited
1 days rest
1.2 IP / 20 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,11
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-301.2 IP1 ER1 RA20 P
2026-04-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA13 P
2026-04-251.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-04-200.2 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-04-191.0 IP0 ER0 RA5 P
Kris Bubic
Limited
Season ERA
3.74
Season WHIP
1.19
Starter rest
3 days rest
Last: 96 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
13504
+
Shaky form3 days rest makes a short-rest start less likely
IP
13%
RA
11%
RA/IP
0.42
Rest
Limited
3 days rest
5.0 IP / 96 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-285.0 IP1 ER1 RA96 P
2026-04-216.0 IP3 ER3 RA100 P
2026-04-164.2 IP5 ER5 RA82 P
2026-04-107.0 IP0 ER0 RA88 P
2026-04-055.0 IP4 ER4 RA96 P
Michael Wacha
Unlikely
Season ERA
3.13
Season WHIP
1.13
Starter rest
2 days rest
Last: 105 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
46201
+
Shaky formOnly 2 days rest does not fit normal starter usageTired
IP
14%
RA
10%
RA/IP
0.35
Rest
Unlikely
2 days rest
5.0 IP / 105 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-295.0 IP4 ER4 RA105 P
2026-04-225.1 IP6 ER6 RA89 P
2026-04-176.0 IP2 ER2 RA97 P
2026-04-118.0 IP0 ER0 RA88 P
2026-04-067.0 IP1 ER1 RA102 P
Noah Cameron
Unlikely
Season ERA
5.40
Season WHIP
1.61
Starter rest
1 days rest
Last: 93 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
53751
+
Poor formOnly 1 days rest does not fit normal starter usageTired
IP
12%
RA
17%
RA/IP
0.69
Rest
Unlikely
1 days rest
5.1 IP / 93 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-04-305.1 IP4 ER5 RA93 P
2026-04-246.1 IP3 ER3 RA88 P
2026-04-184.0 IP5 ER7 RA74 P
2026-04-125.1 IP5 ER5 RA67 P
2026-04-075.2 IP1 ER1 RA97 P