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Final
2023-07-2108:05Wrigley Field
7-2
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals1004200007100
Cubs000100100262

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 19%
Cubs scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 41%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 78% · Season 69% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
67%
+14pp
F5 first five
62%
+5pp
F9 full game
63%
+8pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games
02142638555681555226455349384414755359635627594083643971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 454Runs Allowed 475

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
0234771953648151492646534435447495534364951776458343094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 458Runs Allowed 420
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#133% 32/9630% 29/96#331% 30/9627% 26/9622% 21/9629% 28/9625% 24/9628% 27/96#232% 24/7644% 4/9
RA#136% 35/9627% 26/96#233% 32/9624% 23/9629% 28/9630% 29/96#333% 32/9625% 24/9630% 22/7467% 6/9
CubsR24% 23/9526% 25/95#133% 31/95#229% 28/9526% 25/9527% 26/9527% 26/95#329% 28/9524% 17/7244% 4/9
RA#329% 28/9527% 26/95#140% 38/9526% 25/9524% 23/9523% 22/95#233% 31/9524% 23/9523% 17/7444% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.