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Final
2025-04-0502:20Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
1-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
51%
Own scoring 57%
Opponent allowing 44%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 43%
Sustained highCombined vs league +35pp
#2
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 71%
Opponent allowing 22%
Cubs scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 14%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 44%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 67%
Opponent allowing 14%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
51%R 57% · RA 44%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
38%R 33% · RA 43%
Sample 7Combined vs league +35pp
Last 20 89% · Season 89% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
70%
+15pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
68%
+13pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

7 games
0369124215 27531145151 6917418 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 36Runs Allowed 11

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

9 games
037101473110624638841155936437488349ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 60Runs Allowed 46
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#343% 3/729% 2/7#257% 4/714% 1/729% 2/714% 1/7#171% 5/743% 3/7--
RA#229% 2/70% 0/7#143% 3/7#314% 1/714% 1/70% 0/714% 1/714% 1/70% 0/7-
CubsR22% 2/9#256% 5/933% 3/9#167% 6/9#344% 4/933% 3/933% 3/922% 2/922% 2/9-
RA22% 2/9#144% 4/9#244% 4/9#344% 4/933% 3/922% 2/922% 2/911% 1/943% 3/7-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.