Final
2026-09-1317:00Jingu Stadium
Team123456789RHE
Hiroshima Carp000000010170
Tokyo Yakult Swallows00020100X380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Hiroshima Carp scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Tokyo Yakult Swallows scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.5
Hiroshima Carp scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 15%
Tokyo Yakult Swallows scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.6
Hiroshima Carp scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Tokyo Yakult Swallows scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Hiroshima Carp offense × Tokyo Yakult Swallows defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Tokyo Yakult Swallows offense × Hiroshima Carp defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 65% · Season 48% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
45%
-1pp
7–9 Late
42%
-2pp
F5 first five
46%
+0pp
F9 full game
45%
-1pp
Show team trends

Hiroshima Carp — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
02244668940561234123434337714495154839650707453483638911110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 363Runs Allowed 445

Tokyo Yakult Swallows — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games
0234669924171148322304834845451615617365269736318205293610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 390Runs Allowed 488
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CarpR20% 25/12314% 17/12318% 22/12320% 25/12320% 24/123#222% 27/123#321% 26/122#125% 31/12221% 20/974% 1/28
RA#225% 31/12322% 27/12316% 20/123#130% 37/12324% 30/12321% 26/123#325% 30/12220% 24/12222% 20/9315% 4/26
SwallowsR#321% 27/12620% 25/12616% 20/12617% 21/126#223% 29/126#124% 30/12520% 25/12416% 20/12215% 15/10215% 2/13
RA#229% 36/12620% 25/12622% 28/12622% 28/12624% 30/12626% 33/125#328% 34/12213% 16/122#129% 28/9617% 2/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.