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Final
2026-03-2106:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
7-4
Astros
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Marlins030000400760
Astros002002000490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 47%
Astros scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 10%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Astros defense
39%R 32% · RA 47%
Astros offense × Marlins defense
37%R 42% · RA 32%
Sample 19Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 76% · Season 67% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-16pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-11pp
7–9 Late
59%
-2pp
F5 first five
47%
-14pp
F9 full game
51%
-10pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
051116224171613211637949957126101171115810119ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 75Runs Allowed 103

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
051117235414102111431494121851856141571368789ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 98Runs Allowed 89
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR17% 4/2326% 6/23#143% 10/2326% 6/2322% 5/23#232% 7/22#327% 6/2223% 5/2217% 3/18-
RA#235% 8/2322% 5/239% 2/2326% 6/2317% 4/2317% 4/2332% 7/22#136% 8/22#333% 6/18-
AstrosR16% 4/2516% 4/2528% 7/2528% 7/2532% 8/25#138% 9/24#238% 9/24#333% 8/2420% 4/20-
RA4% 1/2524% 6/25#332% 8/2524% 6/25#236% 9/2516% 4/25#138% 9/2412% 3/2432% 6/19-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.