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Final
2026-03-1306:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
3-2
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000010002381
Astros101000000271

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 47%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 24%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 39%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 24%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 22%
Astros scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 29%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
38%R 29% · RA 47%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
32%R 41% · RA 24%
Sample 17Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 71% · Season 71% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-17pp
4–6 Middle
60%
-4pp
7–9 Late
50%
-10pp
F5 first five
50%
-11pp
F9 full game
51%
-10pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
0491318761552683784146561069571468479ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 72Runs Allowed 61

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
0491318241392711311547145145610147938729ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 70Runs Allowed 67
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#229% 5/1718% 3/1718% 3/17#135% 6/17#329% 5/1718% 3/1729% 5/1729% 5/1718% 2/11-
RA24% 4/17#229% 5/17#329% 5/1729% 5/1724% 4/17#135% 6/1724% 4/1724% 4/177% 1/14-
AstrosR6% 1/1817% 3/1828% 5/18#333% 6/1833% 6/18#141% 7/17#241% 7/1729% 5/1727% 4/15-
RA6% 1/18#328% 5/1828% 5/1822% 4/18#239% 7/1822% 4/18#147% 8/1712% 2/1715% 2/13-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.