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Final
2026-03-0702:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
1-7
Astros
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 33%
Astros scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 42%
Astros scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 42%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
38%R 42% · RA 33%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
33%R 33% · RA 33%
Sample 12Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 71% · Season 71% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-12pp
4–6 Middle
64%
-3pp
7–9 Late
39%
-21pp
F5 first five
57%
-7pp
F9 full game
51%
-12pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

12 games
03711156613526636741255666437928379ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 55Runs Allowed 47

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

12 games
0371014 4135251136545105356757238519ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 36Runs Allowed 49
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#233% 4/1217% 2/1225% 3/12#142% 5/12#333% 4/1225% 3/1217% 2/1225% 3/1211% 1/9-
RA#233% 4/12#142% 5/1225% 3/12#333% 4/1225% 3/1225% 3/1225% 3/1217% 2/1210% 1/10-
AstrosR0% 0/1225% 3/1225% 3/12#233% 4/12#333% 4/1227% 3/11#145% 5/1118% 2/1118% 2/11-
RA8% 1/1225% 3/12#142% 5/12#333% 4/12#242% 5/1233% 4/1218% 2/1118% 2/1112% 1/8-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.