Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-03-0602:05Charlotte Sports Park

Orioles

Away

4-3

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	4	5	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 33%

Rays scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 8%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 36%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 36%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense

39%R 45% · RA 33%

Rays offense × Orioles defense

27%R 8% · RA 45%

Sample 11Combined vs league +3pp

Last 20 66% · Season 66% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

62%

-4pp

7–9 Late

44%

-14pp

F5 first five

59%

-4pp

F9 full game

55%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

11 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 51Runs Allowed 59

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

12 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 48Runs Allowed 55

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	27% 3/11	#145% 5/11	27% 3/11	27% 3/11	#245% 5/11	#336% 4/11	27% 3/11	18% 2/11	22% 2/9	-
Orioles	RA	9% 1/11	#145% 5/11	#245% 5/11	18% 2/11	18% 2/11	#336% 4/11	27% 3/11	9% 1/11	30% 3/10	-
Rays	R	#233% 4/12	8% 1/12	#333% 4/12	#150% 6/12	25% 3/12	33% 4/12	8% 1/12	17% 2/12	33% 3/9	-
Rays	RA	17% 2/12	#233% 4/12	25% 3/12	17% 2/12	#142% 5/12	25% 3/12	#333% 4/12	8% 1/12	29% 2/7	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.