Sportify
Scheduled
2026-09-2704:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
0-0

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0265278104687416581248833636146758572746576275964836459271310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 562Runs Allowed 615

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
03366991329162157762856938276494795666861057677599842779232210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 720Runs Allowed 704
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR28% 38/137#128% 39/13720% 28/13723% 32/137#228% 39/137#328% 39/13727% 37/13722% 30/13720% 22/11262% 13/21
RA#231% 43/13729% 40/137#132% 44/13725% 34/13726% 36/137#330% 41/13725% 34/13722% 30/13724% 26/10757% 12/21
NationalsR32% 44/13925% 35/139#135% 49/139#332% 45/139#234% 47/13927% 37/13932% 45/13925% 35/13923% 25/10967% 12/18
RA26% 36/13928% 39/139#332% 44/13929% 41/13932% 44/13923% 32/13929% 41/139#233% 46/139#134% 37/10961% 11/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.