Final
2026-09-2102:15Busch Stadium
Team123456789RHE
Nationals010002000371
Cardinals10100003X560

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 43%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cardinals defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Cardinals offense × Nationals defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
67%
+15pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0377411114999691667729280390834978657672611588784119847839292410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 795Runs Allowed 781

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0306192123838915756279643687349889591866637177785857849262710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 699Runs Allowed 724
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
WSHR31% 48/15525% 39/155#134% 52/155#232% 49/155#332% 49/15528% 44/15532% 49/15525% 39/15523% 28/12071% 15/21
RA26% 41/15526% 40/155#332% 50/15529% 45/15531% 48/15522% 34/15531% 48/155#135% 55/155#235% 42/11962% 13/21
STLR#330% 46/15523% 35/15528% 44/15525% 39/155#131% 48/15530% 46/15522% 34/155#231% 48/15524% 29/12367% 16/24
RA#331% 48/15519% 30/15522% 34/15527% 42/155#232% 49/15531% 48/15525% 39/15529% 45/155#134% 43/12775% 18/24

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.