Final
2026-09-2004:10Tropicana Field
1-2
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.7
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
0275582110688316460288743726247384573626775076465878389191310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 676Runs Allowed 591

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0306090120786117355276683965147282576836697978366848499292810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 700Runs Allowed 622
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BOSR25% 39/15425% 38/154#229% 45/15425% 39/15425% 38/15426% 40/154#327% 41/15426% 40/154#130% 36/12175% 12/16
RA#134% 53/15422% 34/154#325% 39/15421% 32/154#232% 50/15425% 38/15421% 32/15421% 33/15419% 24/12456% 9/16
TBR#232% 49/15324% 36/153#331% 47/15331% 47/15325% 39/153#133% 51/15325% 38/15328% 43/15325% 26/10568% 15/22
RA24% 37/15324% 36/153#326% 40/15320% 31/153#227% 41/153#128% 43/15326% 40/15324% 37/15322% 27/12559% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.