Final
2026-09-1909:40Petco Park
2-8
Padres
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Marlins0010000102101
Padres00006002X8120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Marlins defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 72% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0285785114698318771252773876448670568896645878791866509152010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 681Runs Allowed 673

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0306191122666518697258693837547674557796757378076867159201510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 668Runs Allowed 638
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MIAR27% 41/153#133% 51/15322% 34/153#331% 47/15330% 46/15324% 37/15324% 37/15331% 47/153#231% 36/11555% 6/11
RA26% 40/15325% 38/153#330% 46/15325% 38/153#231% 47/15327% 42/15320% 30/153#132% 49/15327% 31/11582% 9/11
SDR25% 39/15326% 40/15323% 35/153#132% 49/153#330% 46/15325% 38/153#231% 47/15329% 44/15329% 34/11765% 11/17
RA25% 38/153#132% 49/15326% 40/15327% 41/153#229% 44/153#329% 44/15324% 36/15325% 39/15311% 13/11659% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.