Final
2026-09-1907:10Tropicana Field
4-2
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Red Sox121000000490
Rays100000001251

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.7
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-1pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
49%
-6pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0275481109678216260287743726247384573626775076465878379191310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 672Runs Allowed 589

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
0306090120776017353276673965147282576836697978366847499292810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 698Runs Allowed 618
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BOSR25% 38/15324% 37/153#229% 44/15325% 39/15325% 38/15326% 40/153#327% 41/15326% 40/153#130% 36/12075% 12/16
RA#134% 52/15322% 34/153#325% 39/15321% 32/153#233% 50/15325% 38/15321% 32/15322% 33/15319% 23/12356% 9/16
TBR#232% 48/15224% 36/152#331% 47/15231% 47/15226% 39/152#134% 51/15225% 38/15228% 43/15224% 25/10468% 15/22
RA24% 36/15223% 35/15226% 39/15220% 31/152#227% 41/152#128% 43/152#326% 40/15224% 37/15222% 27/12459% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.