Final
2026-09-1707:40Wrigley Field
Braves
Away
4-8
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.6
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.9
Braves scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 31%
Cubs scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 19%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Cubs defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Cubs offense × Braves defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 68% · Season 49% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
63%
+10pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
0285785114737818983258603737247248584596704779166875569171810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 702Runs Allowed 587

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
034691041398267194732846339191478845111866916179388865419201610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 809Runs Allowed 670
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
ATLR#331% 47/152#232% 48/15227% 41/15224% 36/15226% 40/15225% 38/15225% 38/15231% 47/152#138% 41/10975% 12/16
RA#128% 42/15224% 36/15224% 36/152#228% 42/15220% 30/15224% 37/15220% 31/15226% 40/152#326% 32/12162% 10/16
CHCR27% 41/15230% 46/15226% 40/15231% 47/15228% 42/152#136% 54/15229% 44/152#232% 49/152#331% 38/12167% 14/21
RA24% 37/15228% 42/15224% 37/152#230% 45/152#329% 44/15228% 43/15224% 37/152#131% 47/15221% 26/12448% 10/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.