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Scheduled
2026-09-1507:10Citi Field
0-0
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.2
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mets defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Orioles defense
38%R 15% · RA 60%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
61%
+6pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0275481109716415274271853676248785577576786775484841409282610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 626Runs Allowed 644

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0265278104687416581248833636146758572746576275964836459271310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 562Runs Allowed 615
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR26% 35/13725% 34/137#231% 43/13728% 39/137#329% 40/13728% 38/136#132% 44/13624% 32/13623% 25/10768% 15/22
RA28% 39/13728% 39/137#234% 47/13725% 34/137#331% 42/13724% 33/13725% 34/136#135% 48/13620% 21/10664% 14/22
MetsR28% 38/137#128% 39/13720% 28/13723% 32/137#228% 39/137#328% 39/13727% 37/13722% 30/13720% 22/11262% 13/21
RA#231% 43/13729% 40/137#132% 44/13725% 34/13726% 36/137#330% 41/13725% 34/13722% 30/13724% 26/10757% 12/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.