Final
2026-09-1402:20Wrigley Field
Pirates
Away
4-3
Cubs
Home
Team123456789RHE
Pirates100003000490
Cubs000021000350

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 65% · Season 61% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
0295887117846218154280833718548993584686668678483855509202510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 714Runs Allowed 689

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
033671011358266190732826338991476845108816915679388865399201610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 796Runs Allowed 657
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PITR#232% 47/14923% 34/14926% 39/14924% 36/149#132% 48/14928% 42/14921% 32/149#329% 43/14924% 28/11656% 15/27
RA23% 34/14920% 30/149#133% 49/149#331% 46/149#232% 48/14925% 37/14924% 36/14928% 41/14923% 26/11556% 15/27
CHCR28% 41/14930% 44/14926% 39/14931% 46/14928% 41/149#135% 52/14930% 44/149#233% 49/149#332% 38/11967% 14/21
RA24% 36/14928% 42/14925% 37/149#230% 45/149#330% 44/14928% 41/14923% 35/149#132% 47/14921% 25/12148% 10/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.