Final
2026-09-1207:15Truist Park
5-6
Braves
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Advanced Analysis

Pre-game data reference based on recent workload, pitcher roles, and hitting form. Not betting advice.

RA/G
4.23
SP RA%
58%
BP RA%
42%
Pregame ready
6

Last 5 RA

2026-09-10
2
2026-09-09
7
2026-09-08
6
2026-09-07
0
2026-09-06
5

IP Share

SP 62%BP 38%
Denominator: current roster, 1305.2 IP (3917 outs) this season

Pitcher Workload

Phillies
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola#27
RStarterGame starter
Ready
Season ERA
5.03
Season WHIP
1.40
Starter rest
4 days rest
Last: 93 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
11211
Good form4 days rest fits a normal starter cycle
IP
13%
RA
17%
RA/IP
0.54
Rest
Ready
4 days rest
7.0 IP / 93 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-067.0 IP1 ER1 RA93 P
2026-08-315.0 IP1 ER1 RA104 P
2026-08-256.0 IP2 ER2 RA92 P
2026-08-197.0 IP1 ER1 RA100 P
2026-08-135.0 IP1 ER1 RA97 P
Orion Kerkering
Ready
Season ERA
3.83
Season WHIP
1.28
Bullpen rest
6 days rest
Last: 20 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
20121
Poor formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
6%
RA/IP
0.51
Rest
Ready
6 days rest
1.0 IP / 20 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-041.0 IP2 ER2 RA20 P
2026-08-310.2 IP0 ER0 RA11 P
2026-08-301.1 IP1 ER1 RA19 P
2026-08-250.2 IP2 ER2 RA20 P
2026-08-211.1 IP0 ER1 RA23 P
Brooks Raley
Ready
Season ERA
2.31
Season WHIP
1.11
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 22 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
10000
Average formRecent workload looks normal
IP
4%
RA
3%
RA/IP
0.32
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.0 IP / 22 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9,10,11
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-081.0 IP1 ER1 RA22 P
2026-09-060.2 IP0 ER0 RA9 P
2026-08-310.1 IP0 ER0 RA3 P
2026-08-250.1 IP0 ER0 RA8 P
2026-08-210.1 IP0 ER0 RA7 P
Alex McFarlane
Ready
Season ERA
2.84
Season WHIP
1.11
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 15 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
03000
Shaky formRecent workload looks normal
IP
1%
RA
1%
RA/IP
0.47
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 15 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-091.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-09-060.1 IP3 ER3 RA13 P
2026-09-041.0 IP0 ER0 RA8 P
2026-08-311.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-08-301.0 IP0 ER0 RA16 P
José Alvarado
Ready
Season ERA
5.30
Season WHIP
1.56
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 18 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00000
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
7%
RA/IP
0.63
Rest
Ready
0 days rest
1.0 IP / 18 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-101.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-09-081.0 IP0 ER0 RA21 P
2026-09-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA11 P
2026-08-311.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
2026-08-300.2 IP0 ER0 RA13 P
Chase Shugart
Ready
Season ERA
4.50
Season WHIP
1.24
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 11 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00110
Shaky formRecent workload looks normal
IP
4%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.54
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.0 IP / 11 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,10,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-081.0 IP0 ER0 RA11 P
2026-09-011.0 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-08-242.0 IP1 ER1 RA32 P
2026-08-221.0 IP1 ER1 RA13 P
2026-08-151.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
Tim Mayza
Ready
Season ERA
3.23
Season WHIP
1.06
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 15 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00000
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.39
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.0 IP / 15 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-081.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-09-041.0 IP0 ER0 RA10 P
2026-08-261.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-08-231.1 IP0 ER0 RA24 P
2026-08-210.2 IP0 ER0 RA19 P
Jonathan Bowlan
Limited
Season ERA
3.23
Season WHIP
0.98
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 21 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
11101
Shaky form20+ pitches last outing lowers next-day usage
IP
5%
RA
4%
RA/IP
0.39
Rest
Limited
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 21 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-091.0 IP1 ER1 RA21 P
2026-09-051.0 IP1 ER1 RA19 P
2026-09-021.0 IP1 ER1 RA12 P
2026-09-011.1 IP0 ER0 RA21 P
2026-08-291.0 IP1 ER1 RA24 P
Grant Holman
Insufficient data
Season ERA
—
Season WHIP
—
Bullpen rest
No outing record
Last pitch count unavailableInsufficient data
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
—
No recent outingsMissing recent outing record; read conservatively
IP
0%
RA
0%
RA/IP
0.00
Rest
Insufficient data
No outing record
Inn.
—
Last 5 outingsNewest first
No recent outings
Jhoan Duran
Unlikely
Season ERA
1.82
Season WHIP
1.03
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 17 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
10100
Shaky formPitched two straight days; teams usually avoid three in a rowTired
IP
5%
RA
3%
RA/IP
0.24
Rest
Unlikely
0 days rest
1.0 IP / 17 pitches
Inn.
8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-101.0 IP1 ER1 RA17 P
2026-09-091.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
2026-09-061.0 IP1 ER1 RA13 P
2026-09-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA11 P
2026-08-311.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
Jesús Luzardo
Limited
Season ERA
3.32
Season WHIP
1.11
Starter rest
3 days rest
Last: 109 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
01041
Good form3 days rest makes a short-rest start less likely
IP
15%
RA
13%
RA/IP
0.36
Rest
Limited
3 days rest
9.0 IP / 109 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-079.0 IP0 ER0 RA109 P
2026-09-016.2 IP1 ER1 RA99 P
2026-08-267.0 IP0 ER0 RA104 P
2026-08-215.2 IP2 ER4 RA110 P
2026-08-156.2 IP1 ER1 RA109 P
Andrew Painter
Unlikely
Season ERA
5.71
Season WHIP
1.40
Starter rest
2 days rest
Last: 98 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
50315
Poor formOnly 2 days rest does not fit normal starter usageTired
IP
10%
RA
14%
RA/IP
0.63
Rest
Unlikely
2 days rest
5.0 IP / 98 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-09-085.0 IP5 ER5 RA98 P
2026-09-027.0 IP0 ER0 RA93 P
2026-08-286.0 IP3 ER3 RA94 P
2026-08-227.0 IP1 ER1 RA103 P
2026-08-165.0 IP5 ER5 RA94 P