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Scheduled
2026-09-1202:20Wrigley Field
0-0
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 61% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0275582110746017846270803698048688578636617878075854509192310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 669Runs Allowed 643

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
03163951277359180672736237581473725101726844678682855359201510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 720Runs Allowed 591
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#231% 43/13823% 32/13827% 37/13825% 34/138#133% 46/138#328% 39/13821% 29/13828% 39/13825% 27/10854% 14/26
RA23% 32/13820% 28/138#134% 47/138#332% 44/138#233% 45/13825% 34/13822% 31/13828% 38/13825% 26/10654% 14/26
CubsR26% 36/13629% 39/13625% 34/13629% 39/13628% 38/136#135% 48/13629% 40/136#234% 46/136#330% 33/11070% 14/20
RA24% 32/136#329% 39/13626% 36/136#229% 40/13629% 39/13627% 37/13621% 28/136#132% 44/13621% 23/11145% 9/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.