Final
2026-09-1004:10Petco Park
2-9
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
40%R 25% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
41%
-14pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-3pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
44%
-10pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games
0357010514091651637728676388804968257272611283777112846789232210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 754Runs Allowed 747

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games
0295988118605916694248653787546668555676727077872867159201510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 610Runs Allowed 600
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
WSHR30% 44/14726% 38/147#134% 50/14732% 47/147#233% 48/14728% 41/147#333% 48/14725% 37/14723% 27/11567% 12/18
RA26% 38/14727% 40/147#333% 48/14729% 43/14731% 45/14723% 34/14730% 44/147#135% 51/147#234% 38/11261% 11/18
SDR24% 35/14523% 33/14521% 31/145#131% 45/14528% 41/14525% 36/145#330% 44/14529% 42/145#231% 34/11065% 11/17
RA23% 33/145#132% 47/14526% 38/145#228% 41/145#328% 41/14527% 39/14523% 34/14526% 37/14512% 13/10959% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.