Final
2026-09-0909:40Petco Park
4-5
Padres
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Nationals010002010470
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
20%R 20% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 57% · Season 56% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-12pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-4pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
46%
-9pp
F9 full game
48%
-6pp
Show team trends

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games
0357010514091651627728676388804968257072611282776108846789232210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 750Runs Allowed 742

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games
0295887117605916693248653787546668555656717077471867159201510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 605Runs Allowed 596
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
WSHR30% 44/14625% 37/146#134% 50/14632% 47/146#233% 48/14627% 40/146#333% 48/14625% 36/14624% 27/11467% 12/18
RA26% 38/14627% 40/146#333% 48/14629% 43/14631% 45/14623% 34/14629% 43/146#134% 50/146#234% 38/11261% 11/18
SDR24% 35/14423% 33/14422% 31/144#131% 45/14428% 41/14425% 36/144#330% 43/14428% 41/144#231% 34/11065% 11/17
RA23% 33/144#132% 46/14426% 38/144#228% 41/144#328% 41/14426% 38/14424% 34/14425% 36/14412% 13/10859% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.