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Scheduled
2026-09-0805:10Petco Park
0-0
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 60% · Season 54% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
03366991329162157762856938276494795666861057677599842779232210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 720Runs Allowed 704

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0265380107535816485246633737546567555626696877466866159181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 583Runs Allowed 573
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR32% 44/13925% 35/139#135% 49/139#332% 45/139#234% 47/13927% 37/13932% 45/13925% 35/13923% 25/10967% 12/18
RA26% 36/13928% 39/139#332% 44/13929% 41/13932% 44/13923% 32/13929% 41/139#233% 46/139#134% 37/10961% 11/18
PadresR23% 31/13723% 31/13722% 30/137#231% 43/13729% 40/13726% 36/137#330% 41/13730% 41/137#131% 33/10562% 10/16
RA23% 32/137#132% 44/13726% 36/137#230% 41/137#329% 40/13726% 36/13724% 33/13725% 34/13713% 13/10356% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.