Final
2026-09-0805:10Petco Park
2-3
Padres
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Nationals000002000250
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 57% · Season 61% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-11pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-3pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
48%
-7pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games
0357010514091641627728674388804968256872611282776108846789232210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 748Runs Allowed 739

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
0295887117595916693246653787546668555636717077471867159201510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 602Runs Allowed 594
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
WSHR30% 44/14526% 37/145#134% 50/14532% 47/145#233% 48/14527% 39/145#333% 48/14525% 36/14524% 27/11367% 12/18
RA26% 37/14528% 40/145#332% 47/14530% 43/14531% 45/14523% 34/14530% 43/145#134% 50/145#234% 38/11261% 11/18
SDR24% 34/14323% 33/14321% 30/143#131% 45/14329% 41/14325% 36/143#330% 43/14329% 41/143#231% 34/11065% 11/17
RA23% 33/143#132% 46/14327% 38/143#229% 41/143#329% 41/14326% 37/14324% 34/14325% 36/14312% 13/10759% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.