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Scheduled
2026-09-0702:10Kauffman Stadium
0-0
Royals
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Royals defense
48%R 60% · RA 35%
Royals offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 78% · Season 55% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+12pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
54%
-0pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0285786115537113147269763496046664569926655679058836559201910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 548Runs Allowed 598

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0275481109738715468248713776946185582676687176868843719161610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 590Runs Allowed 673
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 32/13814% 19/138#329% 40/13823% 32/13828% 38/138#131% 43/13825% 35/138#230% 42/13822% 23/10568% 13/19
RA#230% 42/13818% 25/138#328% 38/13827% 37/13825% 35/138#132% 44/13821% 29/13824% 33/13827% 29/10863% 12/19
RoyalsR#330% 42/13823% 32/13822% 31/138#133% 45/13825% 35/138#232% 44/13827% 37/13827% 37/13826% 28/10858% 7/12
RA#131% 43/13827% 37/13820% 28/13829% 40/138#231% 43/13823% 32/13830% 41/13829% 40/138#330% 31/10275% 9/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.