Final
2026-09-0701:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards
3-1
Team123456789RHE
Red Sox030000000340
Orioles100000000151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Orioles scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Orioles defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Orioles offense × Red Sox defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-3pp
7–9 Late
44%
-9pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
0265278105657815453284653716046882570606734675863877359191310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 639Runs Allowed 555

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
0275582110726615276275863696448885577616807275486843429302910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 640Runs Allowed 667
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BOSR26% 37/14324% 34/143#229% 42/143#327% 38/14324% 35/14327% 38/14326% 37/14326% 37/143#131% 35/11375% 12/16
RA#134% 48/14322% 31/143#325% 36/14321% 30/143#234% 48/14325% 36/14321% 30/14322% 31/14319% 22/11556% 9/16
BALR25% 36/14324% 34/143#231% 45/14328% 40/143#329% 41/14327% 38/142#132% 46/14223% 32/14223% 26/11367% 16/24
RA29% 41/14328% 40/143#234% 48/14325% 36/143#329% 42/14324% 35/14326% 37/142#135% 49/14221% 23/11162% 15/24

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.