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Scheduled
2026-09-0407:40Kauffman Stadium
0-0
Royals
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.6
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 46%
Opponent allowing 27%
Royals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Royals defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Royals offense × Marlins defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
56%
+3pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0255177103667117059249633745547661555826544378282856449121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 594Runs Allowed 579

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0275481109738715468248713776946185582676687176868843719161610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 590Runs Allowed 673
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR28% 39/137#132% 44/13723% 32/13729% 40/13730% 41/13724% 33/13723% 31/137#232% 44/137#332% 32/10156% 5/9
RA26% 35/13724% 33/137#328% 38/13724% 33/137#229% 40/13728% 38/13719% 26/137#132% 44/13726% 26/10189% 8/9
RoyalsR#330% 42/13823% 32/13822% 31/138#133% 45/13825% 35/138#232% 44/13827% 37/13827% 37/13826% 28/10858% 7/12
RA#131% 43/13827% 37/13820% 28/13829% 40/138#231% 43/13823% 32/13830% 41/13829% 40/138#330% 31/10275% 9/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.