Final
2026-09-0401:10Progressive Field
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000140001690
Guardians001020000382

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Guardians scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Guardians scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Guardians scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Guardians defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Guardians offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0285786115547113647270763496046766571926655879160837559201910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 560Runs Allowed 604

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
028578611577491396625946357714926754582672567787983545991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 563Runs Allowed 571
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
TORR24% 33/14014% 20/140#329% 41/14023% 32/14028% 39/140#131% 44/14025% 35/140#231% 43/14022% 24/10768% 13/19
RA#230% 42/14018% 25/140#327% 38/14026% 37/14026% 36/140#131% 44/14021% 30/14024% 34/14027% 29/10963% 12/19
CLER#227% 38/13917% 23/13927% 37/13921% 29/139#137% 51/13923% 32/139#327% 38/13927% 38/13924% 26/11038% 5/13
RA24% 33/13926% 36/13923% 32/139#330% 42/13926% 36/139#133% 46/13924% 34/139#233% 46/13928% 31/11054% 7/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.