Final
2026-09-0306:40Tropicana Field
Mets
Away
10-4
Rays
Home
Team123456789RHE
Mets30300031010141
Rays001300000472

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 5%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Rays defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Mets defense
38%R 55% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 49% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+12pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0265278105697516581248843646146758572776606275967836459271310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 567Runs Allowed 623

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0255075100705516351267623804446277573756637277955841489262810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 624Runs Allowed 567
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NYMR#128% 39/139#228% 39/13920% 28/13924% 33/139#328% 39/13928% 39/13928% 39/13922% 30/13919% 22/11462% 13/21
RA#232% 44/13929% 40/139#132% 45/13924% 34/13926% 36/139#330% 42/13924% 34/13923% 32/13924% 26/10857% 12/21
TBR#232% 44/13823% 32/138#331% 43/13830% 41/13825% 34/138#136% 49/13825% 34/13829% 40/13821% 20/9467% 14/21
RA24% 33/13824% 33/138#327% 37/13820% 27/138#128% 39/13826% 36/138#228% 38/13822% 31/13823% 26/11362% 13/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.