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Final
2026-08-2907:10Tropicana Field
Padres
Away
4-9
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Padres000022000441
Rays00151110X9111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.2
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Rays defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Padres defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
0265380107535716485245613716946366551606656377466866139171210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 569Runs Allowed 552

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
023477195685416351264613744146175568716586577655839489242710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 595Runs Allowed 548
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR23% 31/13423% 31/13422% 29/134#231% 42/13429% 39/13425% 34/13429% 39/134#331% 41/134#132% 33/10264% 9/14
RA23% 31/134#133% 44/13425% 34/134#229% 39/134#329% 39/13425% 34/13423% 31/13425% 34/13412% 12/10257% 8/14
RaysR#232% 42/13324% 32/133#330% 40/13329% 39/13325% 33/133#135% 46/13324% 32/13329% 38/13321% 19/9268% 13/19
RA24% 32/13325% 33/133#227% 36/13319% 25/133#129% 38/133#326% 34/13326% 34/13323% 31/13324% 26/10863% 12/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.