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Final
2026-08-2907:10Citi Field
Astros
Away
3-1
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
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Mets000100000150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.5
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.9
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 41%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 12%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mets defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Astros defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 77% · Season 55% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
03366991327979163662698636988473105562486577377560843349231810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 613Runs Allowed 657

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
0265278104657216580248833626146358572696576075763836459271310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 552Runs Allowed 604
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#134% 45/13426% 35/134#231% 42/13428% 38/13428% 38/13424% 32/13425% 33/134#330% 40/13426% 27/10473% 11/15
RA#233% 44/13426% 35/13431% 41/134#333% 44/134#138% 51/13421% 28/13427% 36/13426% 35/13423% 24/10667% 10/15
MetsR27% 36/134#129% 39/13421% 28/13423% 31/134#328% 37/134#229% 39/13428% 37/13422% 29/13420% 22/11062% 13/21
RA#231% 41/134#329% 39/134#133% 44/13425% 34/13427% 36/13429% 39/13425% 33/13422% 29/13425% 26/10457% 12/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.