Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-08-2404:10Petco Park

Twins

Away

1-8

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
Padres	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	1	X	8	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Twins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.1

Twins scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Padres scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.5

Twins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 15%

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Padres defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Twins defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

60%

+6pp

F9 full game

55%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 599Runs Allowed 646

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 556Runs Allowed 547

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	#133% 43/130	28% 37/130	26% 34/130	#232% 42/130	#329% 38/130	22% 28/130	25% 32/130	28% 37/130	23% 23/99	36% 4/11
Twins	RA	#135% 46/130	27% 35/130	26% 34/130	#332% 41/130	29% 38/130	30% 39/130	#235% 45/130	25% 32/130	30% 29/98	36% 4/11
Padres	R	24% 31/130	23% 30/130	22% 28/130	#232% 41/130	#330% 39/130	25% 32/130	29% 38/130	29% 38/130	#133% 33/100	82% 9/11
Padres	RA	24% 31/130	#134% 44/130	26% 34/130	#230% 39/130	#329% 38/130	25% 33/130	24% 31/130	26% 34/130	11% 11/98	64% 7/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.