Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-08-2209:40Petco Park

Twins

Away

2-6

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0
Padres	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Twins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.5

Twins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Twins scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 15%

Padres scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Padres defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Twins defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 62% · Season 55% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

46%

-6pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 592Runs Allowed 633

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 543Runs Allowed 540

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	#133% 42/128	28% 36/128	26% 33/128	#231% 40/128	#330% 38/128	22% 28/128	25% 32/128	29% 37/128	24% 23/97	36% 4/11
Twins	RA	#135% 45/128	27% 34/128	27% 34/128	#332% 41/128	29% 37/128	30% 38/128	#234% 44/128	24% 31/128	30% 29/98	36% 4/11
Padres	R	23% 30/128	23% 29/128	22% 28/128	#232% 41/128	#330% 38/128	24% 31/128	29% 37/128	29% 37/128	#133% 33/100	82% 9/11
Padres	RA	23% 30/128	#134% 43/128	26% 33/128	#329% 37/128	#230% 38/128	26% 33/128	24% 31/128	27% 34/128	11% 11/96	64% 7/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.