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Final
2026-08-2101:10Tropicana Field
5-1
Rays
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Blue Jays0100202005121
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
54%
-0pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games
0265380107466713040268763445645763563816615378554834529201910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 508Runs Allowed 561

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games
023477195665315749264613714046167562716586277653839479242610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 578Runs Allowed 529
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 28/12814% 18/128#130% 39/12823% 29/12825% 32/128#230% 39/12826% 33/128#330% 39/12822% 22/9968% 13/19
RA#230% 39/12816% 21/128#330% 38/12827% 34/12827% 34/128#132% 41/12821% 27/12823% 30/12827% 27/10063% 12/19
RaysR#233% 41/12623% 29/126#332% 40/12629% 36/12626% 33/126#133% 42/12625% 32/12630% 38/12622% 19/8572% 13/18
RA25% 31/12625% 31/126#129% 36/12619% 24/126#228% 35/126#327% 34/12625% 32/12624% 30/12624% 25/10361% 11/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.