Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-08-2001:10Citi Field

Padres

Away

2-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	5	1
Mets	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	X	4	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Mets defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Mets offense × Padres defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 60% · Season 57% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+0pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 541Runs Allowed 536

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 527Runs Allowed 571

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	24% 30/127	23% 29/127	22% 28/127	#232% 41/127	#329% 37/127	24% 31/127	29% 37/127	29% 37/127	#132% 32/99	82% 9/11
Padres	RA	24% 30/127	#134% 43/127	26% 33/127	#328% 36/127	#230% 38/127	26% 33/127	24% 31/127	26% 33/127	11% 11/96	64% 7/11
Mets	R	28% 35/127	#130% 38/127	21% 27/127	22% 28/127	26% 33/127	#230% 38/127	#328% 36/127	22% 28/127	19% 20/104	60% 12/20
Mets	RA	#231% 40/127	#328% 36/127	#134% 43/127	25% 32/127	26% 33/127	28% 35/127	26% 33/127	21% 27/127	23% 22/97	60% 12/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.