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Final
2026-08-1703:15Wrigley Field
11-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals21060002011130
Cubs002000011460

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 68% · Season 49% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
023477195726114148261353516847063576596505976070838609181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 537Runs Allowed 537

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
0295887117625517658264593717046568593656764476872848299181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 641Runs Allowed 534
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#131% 38/12320% 25/12328% 35/12325% 31/123#329% 36/123#230% 37/12320% 25/12328% 35/12321% 20/9662% 10/16
RA28% 34/12320% 25/12318% 22/123#330% 37/123#232% 39/12330% 37/12327% 33/12329% 36/123#132% 32/10062% 10/16
CubsR25% 31/124#330% 37/12425% 31/12430% 37/12427% 33/124#135% 44/12429% 36/124#233% 41/12428% 28/9972% 13/18
RA23% 29/12427% 34/12427% 34/124#229% 36/124#328% 35/12427% 34/12422% 27/124#131% 39/12420% 20/10044% 8/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.