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Final
2026-08-1701:40Citi Field
3-4
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals011000100350
Mets00031000X4101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games
0295989119895815573274643776948670560666956876888841709222210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 667Runs Allowed 648

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
0255075100626916471245803545745453571626565875460833399261310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 519Runs Allowed 562
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#234% 43/12526% 33/125#136% 45/12532% 40/125#334% 43/12526% 33/12533% 41/12526% 32/12524% 24/9865% 11/17
RA26% 33/12529% 36/125#233% 41/12530% 37/12531% 39/12525% 31/12531% 39/125#332% 40/125#135% 35/10065% 11/17
MetsR27% 34/124#131% 38/12422% 27/12422% 27/12425% 31/124#231% 38/124#329% 36/12422% 27/12419% 20/10360% 12/20
RA#231% 39/12427% 34/124#134% 42/12426% 32/12426% 32/124#328% 35/12425% 31/12422% 27/12422% 21/9460% 12/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.