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Final
2026-08-1606:10Tropicana Field
4-3
Rays
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Team12345678910RHE
Orioles0100110001491
Rays00100100103111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.8
Orioles scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
48%R 45% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 82% · Season 63% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-8pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
024497398636214563264753625646378565476756175078838399242510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 549Runs Allowed 584

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
023466993645115747262593593546154560626556077453838479242510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 554Runs Allowed 493
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR25% 31/12224% 29/122#232% 39/122#330% 37/12225% 31/12227% 33/121#136% 43/12124% 29/12124% 22/9363% 12/19
RA31% 38/12227% 33/122#233% 40/12225% 31/122#333% 40/12222% 27/12226% 31/121#136% 43/12122% 20/9368% 13/19
RaysR#133% 40/12124% 29/121#331% 38/12126% 32/12127% 33/121#233% 40/12126% 31/12131% 37/12122% 18/8276% 13/17
RA25% 30/12124% 29/121#129% 35/12117% 21/12125% 30/121#226% 31/121#326% 31/12125% 30/12126% 25/9859% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.