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Final
2026-08-1602:20Wrigley Field
8-4
Cubs
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Cardinals300103010871
Cubs030000010480

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
023466992696114145261353506847063573596505975969838609181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 529Runs Allowed 533

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0295887117625217358264593716946568593626764476771848299181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 637Runs Allowed 526
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#130% 37/12220% 25/12229% 35/12225% 30/122#230% 36/122#330% 36/12220% 25/12228% 34/12221% 20/9562% 10/16
RA28% 34/12220% 24/12218% 22/122#330% 37/122#232% 39/12230% 37/12227% 33/12229% 35/122#132% 32/9962% 10/16
CubsR25% 31/12329% 36/12325% 31/123#330% 37/12327% 33/123#136% 44/12329% 36/123#233% 40/12329% 28/9872% 13/18
RA23% 28/12328% 34/12328% 34/123#228% 35/123#328% 35/12327% 33/12322% 27/123#131% 38/12320% 20/9944% 8/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.