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Final
2026-08-1507:10Tropicana Field
6-5
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles0110002206120
Rays011000003590

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 77% · Season 61% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-4pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
024497398636214462263743625646378565476736174878838369242510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 543Runs Allowed 579

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
023466993645115646261583593546154560626555877451835479242510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 549Runs Allowed 487
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR26% 31/12123% 28/121#231% 38/121#331% 37/12126% 31/12128% 33/120#135% 42/12023% 28/12024% 22/9263% 12/19
RA31% 38/12126% 32/121#332% 39/12126% 31/121#233% 40/12122% 27/12126% 31/120#136% 43/12021% 19/9268% 13/19
RaysR#133% 40/12023% 28/120#331% 37/12027% 32/12028% 33/120#233% 40/12026% 31/12031% 37/12021% 17/8176% 13/17
RA25% 30/12023% 28/120#128% 34/12018% 21/12025% 30/120#226% 31/12025% 30/12024% 29/120#326% 25/9759% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.