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Final
2026-08-1507:10Citi Field
1-4
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+9pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0295989119895615573273643766948670557636956676888841689222210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 662Runs Allowed 639

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
024497499606916471245793545645453568596545875460831399261310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 510Runs Allowed 557
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#235% 43/12327% 33/123#136% 44/12332% 39/123#335% 43/12326% 32/12333% 41/12326% 32/12325% 24/9665% 11/17
RA26% 32/12329% 36/123#233% 41/12330% 37/12332% 39/12324% 29/12331% 38/123#333% 40/123#134% 34/9965% 11/17
MetsR27% 33/122#131% 38/12222% 27/12222% 27/12225% 31/122#230% 36/122#329% 35/12222% 27/12219% 19/10260% 12/20
RA#232% 39/122#328% 34/122#134% 41/12225% 31/12226% 32/12228% 34/12225% 31/12222% 27/12223% 21/9260% 12/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.