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2026-08-1502:20Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
023466992696114145261353506847063573566505975969838609181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 529Runs Allowed 530

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
0285684113625217358264593716946568590626764476771848299181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 634Runs Allowed 526
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#131% 37/12121% 25/12129% 35/12125% 30/121#230% 36/121#330% 36/12121% 25/12128% 34/12121% 20/9462% 10/16
RA28% 34/12120% 24/12118% 22/121#331% 37/121#232% 39/12130% 36/12127% 33/12129% 35/121#132% 32/9962% 10/16
CubsR25% 31/12230% 36/12225% 31/122#330% 37/12227% 33/122#135% 43/12230% 36/122#233% 40/12229% 28/9872% 13/18
RA23% 28/12228% 34/12228% 34/122#229% 35/122#329% 35/12227% 33/12222% 27/122#131% 38/12220% 20/9844% 8/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.