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Final
2026-08-1008:20Petco Park
Astros
Away
2-7
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Astros020000000220
Padres01030102X7120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Astros defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 73% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
60%
+6pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
0285684113707215357266803617247090557436506476748839299151610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 548Runs Allowed 571

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
023477195495315276243563636445162541576546176662863119151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 497Runs Allowed 512
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#133% 39/11825% 29/118#233% 39/11827% 32/118#331% 36/11825% 29/11823% 27/11830% 35/11826% 23/9069% 9/13
RA#233% 39/11826% 31/118#331% 37/11831% 36/118#138% 45/11819% 23/11826% 31/11825% 29/11824% 22/9369% 9/13
PadresR24% 28/11820% 24/11823% 27/118#231% 37/118#329% 34/11825% 29/11829% 34/11829% 34/118#132% 30/9389% 8/9
RA24% 28/118#132% 38/11825% 30/118#231% 36/118#331% 36/11827% 32/11825% 30/11826% 31/11811% 10/8967% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.