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Final
2026-08-0907:15Petco Park
Astros
Away
2-3
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Astros010000001251
Padres10110000X351

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Astros defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 73% · Season 56% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
55%
+2pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
0285684113707115257266793617147090557436506476748838299151610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 546Runs Allowed 568

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
023477094485315275242563626445162541576546176662863109151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 494Runs Allowed 510
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#133% 39/11724% 28/117#233% 39/11727% 32/117#331% 36/11725% 29/11723% 27/11730% 35/11725% 22/8969% 9/13
RA#232% 38/11726% 31/117#331% 36/11730% 35/117#138% 45/11720% 23/11726% 31/11725% 29/11724% 22/9369% 9/13
PadresR23% 27/11721% 24/11722% 26/117#231% 36/117#329% 34/11725% 29/11729% 34/11729% 34/117#132% 30/9389% 8/9
RA24% 28/117#132% 37/11726% 30/117#231% 36/117#331% 36/11727% 32/11726% 30/11726% 31/11710% 9/8867% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.