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Final
2026-08-0809:40Petco Park
Astros
Away
6-3
Padres
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Astros0121010106111
Padres000210000370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Astros defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
0285684112707115157264793606947089556436506476648838299151610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 540Runs Allowed 565

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
023466993485315274242543606345062541566546176661863109151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 491Runs Allowed 504
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#134% 39/11623% 27/116#233% 38/11627% 31/116#331% 36/11624% 28/11623% 27/11629% 34/11625% 22/8869% 9/13
RA#233% 38/11627% 31/116#331% 36/11629% 34/116#138% 44/11620% 23/11627% 31/11625% 29/11624% 22/9269% 9/13
PadresR23% 27/11621% 24/11622% 26/116#230% 35/11628% 33/11625% 29/116#329% 34/11629% 34/116#133% 30/9289% 8/9
RA24% 28/116#131% 36/11625% 29/116#330% 35/116#231% 36/11627% 31/11626% 30/11626% 30/11610% 9/8767% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.