Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-08-0806:40PNC Park

Mets

Away

6-4

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	10	0
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Pirates defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Pirates offense × Mets defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

41%

-12pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

50%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 482Runs Allowed 528

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 588Runs Allowed 564

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	26% 30/116	#132% 37/116	21% 24/116	22% 25/116	26% 30/116	#230% 35/116	#328% 33/116	23% 27/116	18% 17/96	60% 12/20
Mets	RA	#232% 37/116	28% 33/116	#133% 38/116	25% 29/116	25% 29/116	#329% 34/116	23% 27/116	22% 26/116	22% 20/89	60% 12/20
Pirates	R	#232% 37/117	25% 29/117	27% 32/117	26% 30/117	#133% 39/117	#331% 36/117	20% 23/117	31% 36/117	24% 22/91	59% 13/22
Pirates	RA	23% 27/117	21% 24/117	#133% 39/117	#232% 37/117	#330% 35/117	26% 30/117	24% 28/117	30% 35/117	25% 23/91	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.