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Final
2026-08-0602:10Daikin Park
5-4
Astros
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Team12345678910RHE
Blue Jays0000030002550
Astros00300000014101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 72% · Season 53% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games
023477094426412838262673394744660554756575177048833439131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 444Runs Allowed 505

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
0285684112707115157261793606947089556406506476648838299141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 536Runs Allowed 560
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 25/11414% 16/114#130% 34/11422% 25/11423% 26/114#229% 33/11426% 30/114#328% 32/11423% 21/9080% 8/10
RA#232% 37/11417% 19/114#329% 33/11427% 31/11427% 31/114#133% 38/11422% 25/11425% 28/11426% 23/8770% 7/10
AstrosR#134% 39/11523% 27/115#232% 37/11527% 31/115#331% 36/11524% 28/11523% 27/11530% 34/11525% 22/8767% 8/12
RA#233% 38/11527% 31/115#331% 36/11530% 34/115#138% 44/11519% 22/11527% 31/11525% 29/11524% 22/9167% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.