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Final
2026-08-0508:10Daikin Park
2-7
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000020000251
Astros00024010X791

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 72% · Season 52% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+5pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
023477094426412838262673394544456554756575077048833439131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 442Runs Allowed 498

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games
0275481109707115157261793586946687556406496476648838299141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 529Runs Allowed 558
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 25/11314% 16/113#130% 34/11322% 25/11322% 25/113#229% 33/11327% 30/113#328% 32/11324% 21/8980% 8/10
RA#233% 37/11317% 19/113#329% 33/11327% 30/11327% 30/113#134% 38/11321% 24/11325% 28/11326% 23/8770% 7/10
AstrosR#134% 39/11424% 27/114#232% 37/11426% 30/114#331% 35/11425% 28/11423% 26/11430% 34/11425% 22/8767% 8/12
RA#233% 38/11427% 31/114#332% 36/11430% 34/114#138% 43/11419% 22/11427% 31/11425% 29/11424% 22/9067% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.